• 80% chance that at least one of the next five years will exceed 2024 as the warmest on record
  • 86% chance that at least one of next five years will be more than 1.5°C above the 1850-1900 average
  • 70% chance that 5-year average warming for 2025-2029 will be more than 1.5 °C
  • Long-term warming (averaged over decades) remains below 1.5°C
  • Arctic warming predicted to continue to outstrip global average
  • Precipitation patterns have big regional variations